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AU Election 2025

My Opinion on Raila Odinga’s Path to the AU

13th February 2025

Chairpersonship Raila Amolo Odinga is a visionary leader whose ideas have significantly influenced Kenya’s Vision 2030, a blueprint that subsequent leaders have implemented despite their political rivalry with him. A true Pan-Africanist, Odinga stands out as one of the few leaders who deeply understand the integration of Black Africans across the continent. My belief that he will secure the African Union (AU) chairpersonship in the elections scheduled for February 15–16, 2025, stems from critical analysis rather than the perceived imbalance of African nations governed by Islamic leaders, who might favor Mahmoud Ali Youssouf. Notably, Raila, a Muslim by religion, could benefit if religious affiliations influence voting. However, Richard Randriamandrato, the sole Christian candidate, might gain an advantage in such a scenario.

In 2023, Kenya and Comoros both vied for the AU position. Following the tradition of rotational eligibility, Kenya’s then-Deputy President William Ruto withdrew Kenya’s candidacy, allowing Comorian President Azali Assoumani to assume the role unopposed. Now, it is expected that Comoros will reciprocate by supporting Kenya’s candidate, Raila Odinga. Additionally, South Sudan’s President Salva Kiir is reportedly considering delaying the country’s elections to 2026 through the Tumaini Initiative, a peace process aimed at extending his tenure. This move could enable President Kiir to vote for Raila in the AU elections, as he might otherwise face electoral challenges. Interestingly, the Tumaini Initiative was largely envisioned by individuals not directly involved in the mediation process, with President Ruto playing a key role.

As the current Chairperson of the East African Community (EAC), President Ruto holds significant influence, and it is anticipated that EAC member states will rally behind Raila. If Mahmoud Ali Youssouf fails to secure support in East Africa, his home region, his chances of winning broader AU support diminish further. The strategic maneuvering between Raila and Ruto involves allowing Madagascar’s participation to ensure that votes from non-Black African nations are evenly split between Mahmoud and Richard, while Raila consolidates support from Black African nations, securing his victory. This calculated approach underscores the political chess game at play in the upcoming AU elections.

~Biar Akol

The Patriotic People's Party (PPP) News Page is your dedicated source for information on South Sudan. We bring you the latest news and updates, providing insight and analysis of events shaping the nation. Our mission is to keep the people of South Sudan informed and engaged in the political and social discourse of their country.

PPP News: Keeping South Sudan Informed

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Political Developments

Recent political developments in South Sudan, including key events and their impact on the nation.

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Economic Updates

In-depth analysis of current economic trends, challenges and opportunities for South Sudanese economy.

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Social Issues

Discussions on pressing social matters, community initiatives, and the cultural fabric of South Sudan.

The Spirit of South Sudan: Latest News from the PPP

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Cultural Events

Celebrating South Sudanese culture, highlighting traditional arts, music and festivities.

AU ELECTION 2025

My Opinion On Raila To The AU Chairpersonship

Chairpersonship Raila Amolo Odinga is a visionary leader whose ideas have significantly influenced Kenya’s Vision 2030, a blueprint that subsequent leaders have implemented despite their political rivalry with him. A true Pan-Africanist, Odinga stands out as one of the few leaders who deeply understand the integration of Black Africans across the continent. My belief that he will secure the African Union (AU) chairpersonship in the elections scheduled for February 15–16, 2025, stems from critical analysis rather than the perceived imbalance of African nations governed by Islamic leaders, who might favor Mahmoud Ali Youssouf. Notably, Raila, a Muslim by religion, could benefit if religious affiliations influence voting. However, Richard Randriamandrato, the sole Christian candidate, might gain an advantage in such a scenario. In 2023, Kenya and Comoros both vied for the AU position. Following the tradition of rotational eligibility, Kenya’s then-Deputy President William Ruto withdrew Kenya’s candidacy, allowing Comorian President Azali Assoumani to assume the role unopposed. Now, it is expected that Comoros will reciprocate by supporting Kenya’s candidate, Raila Odinga. Additionally, South Sudan’s President Salva Kiir is reportedly considering delaying the country’s elections to 2026 through the Tumaini Initiative, a peace process aimed at extending his tenure. This move could enable President Kiir to vote for Raila in the AU elections, as he might otherwise face electoral challenges. Interestingly, the Tumaini Initiative was largely envisioned by individuals not directly involved in the mediation process, with President Ruto playing a key role. As the current Chairperson of the East African Community (EAC), President Ruto holds significant influence, and it is anticipated that EAC member states will rally behind Raila. If Mahmoud Ali Youssouf fails to secure support in East Africa, his home region, his chances of winning broader AU support diminish further. The strategic maneuvering between Raila and Ruto involves allowing Madagascar’s participation to ensure that votes from non-Black African nations are evenly split between Mahmoud and Richard, while Raila consolidates support from Black African nations, securing his victory. This calculated approach underscores the political chess game at play in the upcoming AU elections. ~Biar Akol

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Community Initiatives

Showcasing local projects, community efforts, and volunteer work taking place in South Sudan.

Environmental Conservation

Reporting on efforts to protect South Sudan's environment and natural resources.

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Patriotic People's Party: News and Updates from South Sudan

Details of party events, conferences, and meetings that have happened across the country.

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Our Services

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Providing accurate and timely coverage of events in South Sudan.

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Offering in-depth analysis and commentary on political issues.

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Connecting with the community and sharing information through different channels.

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Patriotic People's Party (PPP)

.The Patriotic People's Party of South Sudan (PPPS) is a South Sudanese political party. Information about the PPPS is limited in readily available English-language sources. It is not a major party and does not widely feature in international news or prominent political analyses of the country. More information would require seeking out South Sudanese language sources or specialty political science research.

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